Where new capabilities meet real constraints

I write about technology, focusing on what breaks, what matters, and what changes when possibilities expand. About →

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Essays and notes that best show how I think.

Here's a model I use to think about how AI will change work. Some parts of every activity will cost 1,000x

There seem to be two views of what will happen with engineers' jobs given the new efficiencies from using advanced AI coding tools

How I spent a year trying to start a startup -- and failed.

Shorter ideas, quick updates, and experiments in progress.