This is a raw stream of working notes. Some may be wrong, and mostly these will have little context, but I believe sharing raw thoughts is valuable in a way that polished blog posts are not.
I have a theory that the LLM frontier moves every 1.5-2 years. Let me qualify. I mean that a major leap of the whatever is the best model (currently GPT-4) happens with that interval. Incremental improvements don't count: e.g. Claude 3 Opus is claimed to be maybe slightly better than GPT-4, but it
Quiet quitting is a recent name for something I am sure has been happening for all of time. It probably has something to do with the person's life circumstances, or something about the macro environment being depressing, or whatever. But let me propose a simple economic justification. Consider the total impact of employment on a person. That includes
It seems like everyone I talk to recently is thinking in the same direction: managing their seasonal affective disorder, or SAD. If you live in Estonia, or anywhere with a long winter, or maybe even the less sunny parts of California, you'll know what I'm talking about. If you don't, the TL;DR is
We lost a floorball game yesterday. I can't stop thinking about it. Maybe because it felt like a pointless loss, like we lost because of something fully within our grasp. What happened? Two periods into the game, we were ahead 3:1. We had kept our defence intact, our game decent. But then in the third period we
An object that has a lot of momentum is hard to stop. A bowling ball. An ocean liner. A person who will not allow themselves to be derailed. Physically, an object of any amount of momentum could be stopped in a very short time, if enormous force is exerted. And the same could apply, in theory, to mental affairs. But
Rather than try to fix things, all you have to do is notice, non-judgementally, that you’re doing them. Even while you’re involved in this non-judgemental noticing, you will notice a barrage of impulses to try different things, to intervene, to try, to fix. That’s fine, just notice them non-judgementally, too. Source: "The Inner
Here's a hypothesis: I think I'll always find something I am curious about. I am a naturally curious person, and I would actually guess that everyone is? It seems impossible that there would ever be a moment where nothing could interest me. But I think curiosity arises from lack of Dopamine. Basically, boredom. If you never
No. You can see for yourself: setting the temperature variable to 0 (meaning you always sample the most likely token from the output distribution), you'd expect GPT-3.5 and 4 to produce the same output every time you call them. However, they don't. Why do LLMs produce different outputs across different runs? I've
Llama 3 is already training according to Zuck. There are conflicting sources & rumors, and the release date claims vary across all of 2024. For GPT-5 there are even no reliable rumors; if training started within the past few months then my back of napkin is that it may be launched early 2025, because OpenAI has ~2 year major
I'll share more thoughts on OpenAI Dev Day announcements soon, but one huge problem for any developer is LLM API latency. And boy, did OpenAI deliver. On a quick benchmark I ran: * gpt-4-1106-preview ("gpt-4-turbo") runs in 18ms/token * gpt-3.5-turbo-1106 ("the newest version of gpt-3.5&
